Portrait of Simeon Oluwatosin

Simeon Oluwatosin

Understanding and Predicting Wildfire Severity Using Environmental Conditions

Simeon built predictive models that estimate wildfire severity from environmental conditions. Similar predictive work helps a business anticipate outcomes rather than react to them.

Predictive modellingData preparationEvaluation methods

The business question

Can environmental conditions be used to anticipate how severe a wildfire will be?

Project visuals

Dashboard — Wildfire overview
Dashboard — Wildfire overview
Dashboard — Environmental risk analysis
Dashboard — Environmental risk analysis
Dashboard — Correlation and risk monitoring
Dashboard — Correlation and risk monitoring

What the project demonstrated

  • Prepared environmental datasets for predictive modelling.
  • Built and evaluated models that estimate fire severity from conditions.
  • Compared model approaches and reported on their reliability.

How similar work could help a business

The points below are illustrative applications of this kind of work — not results delivered for a client.

  • Predictive modelling of this kind can support forecasting in any operation affected by external conditions.
  • Knowing which factors drive an outcome helps a business focus spending on what actually moves the number.
  • Honest evaluation of model reliability supports better judgement about when to trust a forecast.

Measures this kind of work tracks

Model accuracy measuresPredictive factors rankedScenarios evaluated